
To calculate my chances I used VOACAP to do a prediction, although it's like the weather, you can't actually predict what will happen:
Australia/New Zealand/Asia: best time from 9-11 UTC with 80% chance at 10 UTC
Middle east/East Africa: best time from 8-9 UTC about 30% chance
Africa: best time 9-14 UTC about 60% chance
South America: best time 11-16 UTC about 40% chance
Central America: best time 14 UTC about 50% chance
North America: best time14-15 UTC about 10% chance
Steve G0KYA's propagation forecast gives about the same prediction. The advantage is that you can see it on the world map.
I was only spotted by PD0OHW from a village nearby this morning, no DX. That doesn't look promising! I spotted VK3KCX (2W), OZ7IT(5W) and ON7KO(5W) myself.
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